Prévisions Boeing pour l'Inde

Les prévisions; "forcasts " de B pour le marché indien s'étiolent un peu.

Le relais sur Dow news est intéressant sur l'état actuel des commandes pour A et B :

NEW DELHI -(Dow Jones)- Boeing Co.(BA)
Wednesday cut its commercial aircraft sales forecast for India saying it expects the country's carriers to buy up to 1,000 planes by 2029 for as much as $100 billion.

The U.S.-based aircraft manufacturer previously forecast India would need 1, 001 aircraft worth $105 billion by 2027.

"India is economically better than the rest of the world but the aviation industry here is equally affected as companies globally," Boeing India President Dinesh Keskar told reporters.

He said last year's forecast was that large airplanes' share in the overall market would reach 11% but it now expects it to be 8%.

The company now expects higher orders for small planes, so it has scaled down its forecast for India by $9 billion.

Keskar said air travel has started recovering and he expects the local aviation market to turn around in nine to 12 months.

Higher operating costs, the global economic downturn and lower consumer spending has hurt air travel in India.

Air passenger traffic fell about 5% in 2008. Air traffic declined 8.06% to 21.09 million passengers during the first six months of 2009.

Jet Airways (India) Ltd.(532617.BY), Kingfisher Airlines Ltd.(532747.BY) and Air India have cut capacity and deferred and cancelled deliveries of new planes from Boeing and its rival Airbus due to the decline in passenger numbers.

Boeing's customers in India include Jet Airways, Air India and low-fare carrier SpiceJet Ltd.

The federal government recently asked Air India to restructure its orders for 111 planes from Boeing and Airbus, and reconsider its order for 27 Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft that forms part of the order.

Keskar said there were no discussions with Air India about canceling or deferring its order for Boeing planes.

Keskar said Jet will take delivery of one Boeing plane this fiscal year and defer the remaining seven.

The slowdown in air travel has also led Kingfisher to defer delivery of 32 of 48 Airbus A320 planes which were due to arrive in late 2008 and 2009.

Earlier, to keep up with the demand and the boom in the Indian aviation industry, local carriers ordered 164 planes for $25 billion from Boeing and 410 passenger jets for about $40 billion from Airbus. Most of the orders were placed in 2005.

Keskar in March said the company didn't expect any deferrals or cancellations from Indian carriers. Boeing has to deliver 100 planes worth $17 billion to Indian carriers over the next five years, Keskar had said.

-By Nikhil Gulati and Anirban Chowdhury; Dow Jones Newswires

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